Summer Prospect Rankings, 11-20
Written by Kyle Kujawa   
Thursday, 17 June 2010 17:25

Part two. Sorry for the delay folks. Here's 1-10 if you hadn't seen it. Note the name change from "May" because it's now mid-June. Discuss!

11. Brian Lashoff, D (+4) [+1]
Signed as a free agent, September 2008
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Stats
08/09 .. Barrie (OHL) .. 25 GP .. 1-12-13 .. -3 .. 19 PIM
08/09 .. Kingston (OHL) .. 35 GP .. 6-13-19 .. -1 .. 32 PIM
08/09 .. Grand Rapids (AHL) .. 6 GP .. 1-4-5 .. +1 .. 0 PIM
09/10 .. Kingston (OHL) .. 58 GP .. 6-21-27 .. -10 .. 71 PIM
09/10 .. USA (WJC) .. 7 GP .. 0-2-2 .. 4 PIM
09/10 .. Grand Rapids (AHL) .. 6 GP .. 0-2-2 .. +5 .. 2 PIM
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Season: Despite a very impressive showing in an AHL tryout last season, due to his 1990 birth year, Lashoff had to spend this season in the OHL, where he captained the Kingston Frontenacs. Though Kingston was better than last year, Lashoff's numbers didn't show it, but he did log major minutes on their blueline. Paired with 2010 top ten pick Erik Gudbranson, when he was healthy, Lashoff was a clear leader on the Kingston blueline from the get go, serving as the team's captain. Lashoff also helped United States win gold at the World Junior Championship. He played sparingly when the tournament began, but earned more and more ice time as it went on, eventually facing the task of shutting down Taylor Hall in the gold medal game. From there, he finished his season in the OHL and moved on to another successful tryout with Grand Rapids.
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Future: I really feel that Lashoff has the same symptoms in the OHL that I saw in Jimmy Howard and now Jakub Kindl in the AHL. His teammates, and Lashoff played on an average team, but posted only average numbers, just aren't up to his skill level. Lashoff makes a much better professional prospect than junior prospect, because of his mobility and puck moving ability. He'll get that chance now, as the once undrafted free agent will finally begin the three-year entry level deal he signed in September of 2008. This ranking is very generous for a player with his output in junior hockey, but I believe it's fair if he can make the impact I think he's capable of. Lashoff should be able to step comfortably into a top four role for the Griffins next season.
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12. Adam Almqvist, D (+2) [+21]
7th round, 210th overall, 2009
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Stats
08/09 .. HV71 (J20) .. 41 GP .. 8-28-36 .. 44 PIM
08/09 .. Sweden (U18) .. 14 GP .. 1-3-4 .. 10 PIM
09/10 .. HV71 (J20) .. 15 GP .. 5-29-34 .. +14 .. 14 PIM
09/10 .. Sweden (U18) .. 4 GP .. 2-2-4 .. 2 PIM
09/10 .. HV71 (SEL) .. 28 GP .. 2-6-8 .. +11 .. 10 PIM
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Season: In my few years of ranking prospects, no new draft pick has made the strides in a year that Almqvist made this season. Almqvist started the season hilariously productive, putting up 34 points in 15 games with HV-71's J20 team. To clarify, all senior league clubs (in the top Swedish league, the SEL) have junior teams, and Almqvist played on the one for 20 year olds. His team didn't lose a single game while he was down there, but he left once injuries opened up a spot in the SEL. He was expected to spend a few games there and then be loaned to second-tier Sweden -- where he would be more challenged than in the J20 league, but not to the point where he could dominate. Almqvist had other plans, as he impressed enough to stick on HV-71 all season long. He produced eight points in 28 games, and then 11 more in 16 playoff games as HV-71 won the SEL title. When it was all said and done, Almqvist was playing 20-25 minutes a night on the team's top pairing with former NHLer Janne Niinimaa -- a pretty good feat for an 18-year-old first round pick, let alone a seventh.
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Future: Future? Bright. Almqvist could not have possibly had a better season, and his ranking reflects that. He came just as he was billed -- skilled, with hockey sense through the roof. Most will cite the fact that he's on the smaller end, but he is the same size that Niklas Kronwall was at this age (though he is not known for big open ice hits, sorry). Almqvist should be able to stick in the SEL all season long, and should be a near lock for Sweden's team at the World Junior Championships in Buffalo next winter. 
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13. Daniel Larsson, G (-8) [-10]
3rd round, 92nd overall, 2006
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Stats
08/09 .. Grand Rapids (AHL) .. 40 GP .. 22-12-2 .. 2.76 GAA .. 90.7% .. 5 SO
09/10 .. Grand Rapids (AHL) .. 53 GP .. 23-24-2 .. 2.85 GAA .. 90.3% .. 1 SO
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Season: All things considered, Larsson had a pretty strong season. Grand Rapids struggled more overall, and the team's overall defense is more to blame than both the struggles of Larsson and Thomas McCollum. Unlike last season when he split time with Jimmy Howard, Larsson was primarily the starting goalie all year in Grand Rapids. McCollum was given time early in the season, but hit a wall midseason as Larsson took over the bulk of the starts. Once the Griffins were out of the playoff picture and McCollum picked up his game, Larsson saw a lot of bench. This was difficult as he had statistically outperformed Howard last season as a rookie. He didn't get a chance in the NHL due to the Wings needing every point they could get down the stretch. Combining that with small salaries of the AHL, and Larsson signed a two-year deal with Swedish club HV-71 instead of re-signing with Detroit.
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Future: Larsson's ranking reflects the decision about his future. What doesn't totally kill it is the fact that he has an out-clause after the first year, if, say, Chris Osgood retires and the Wings need a backup goalie for Howard in 2011-12. How willing the Wings would be to give that job to a goalie with no NHL experience is another story. Either way, Larsson is still a talented netminder and is a top ten prospect in this organization if he stays in the AHL. Going to Sweden doesn't necessarily make him any worse -- the SEL is actually a better league than the AHL, in the opinion of most -- but the Wings history with getting players back from Europe is not good. Larsson still says playing in the NHL is his goal, but for now he gets a demotion and a resounding "we'll see."
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14. Andrej Nestrasil, RW (-2) [-1]
3rd round, 75th overall, 2009
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Stats
08/09 .. Victoriaville (QMJHL) .. 66 GP .. 20-35-57 .. -2 .. 67 PIM
09/10 .. Victoriaville (QMJHL) .. 50 GP .. 16-35-51 .. +4 .. 40 PIM
09/10 .. Czech Republic (WJC) .. 6 GP .. 1-6-7 .. 4 PIM
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Season: Nestrasil is the pick from the 2009 draft that many called the "free pick." Detroit traded down from pick 29 to 32, nabbing Landon Ferraro as well as the pick used to select Nestrasil. The Wings considered him first round talent in terms of offensive skill, and hoped that he would have a breakout offensive season in the QMJHL because of that. He started off on the right foot, alongside fellow Czech Tomas Kubalik (CBJ) tearing it up for Victoriaville, among the league's top 20 scorers for most of the first half of the season. Victoriaville was very active at the trade deadline, adding several veteran players as they unsuccessfully tried to load up for a long playoff run. This severely cut into Nestrasil's ice time, and he slumped through the second half of the season, and into the playoffs -- posting just six points in 16 playoff games. The brightest spot for Nestrasil was his performance with the Czech Republic at the World Junior Championships, where he logged major minutes as one of the most offensively gifted players on the team.
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Future: Following the season, completing a trade that they made at the aforementioned busy deadline, nestrasil was traded from Victoriaville to PEI, where he'll suit up for his third junior season. Nestrasil will need a contract following next season, and could play himself out of it if he does not take the next step as a scorer in the QMJHL. He'll also reprise his role with the Czech Republic at the WJC.
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15. Logan Pyett, D (+2) [+12]
7th round, 212th overall, 2006
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Stats
08/09 .. Grand Rapids (AHL) .. 61 GP .. 3-11-14 .. -1 .. 12 PIM
09/10 .. Grand Rapids (AHL) .. 80 GP .. 9-21-30 .. +7 .. 41 PIM
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Season: After a strong junior career, Pyett had a very slow start to professional hockey last season. Much like Jan Mursak, Pyett played sparingly when he was in the lineup and was out completely when amateur tryouts like Brian Lashoff and Joakim Andersson (in Mursak's case) came into the lineup late into the season. For that reason, he was buried on the pre-season rankings. Pyett came alive this season, though, and worked his way back up the depth charts an into Detroit's long-term plans. Pyett was very productive offensively, doubling his totals from last season, but also worked to refine his defensive game in order to make himself a legitimate top four defenseman. Pyett is undersized, but plays a style of puck possession hockey that would fit well in Detroit, so he will likely get a long look at training camp for the future.
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Future: With Jakub Kindl in the NHL and Sergei Kolosov a restricted free agent who may or may not have been qualified, Pyett could be the most experienced returning prospect. This makes the coming season a very important one for him. He'll have plenty of competition with rookies like Brendan Smith and Brian Lashoff as well as second-year pros but not quite AHL regulars like Sebastien Piche and Travis Ehrhardt all searching for ice time. Pyett is entering the last year of his entry-level contract, and will need to build off his strong sophomore season to stick around in the organization.
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16. Willie Coetzee, LW (+2) [NR]
Signed as a free agent, September 2009
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Stats
08/09 .. Red Deer (WHL) .. 72 GP .. 18-24-42 .. -9 .. 42 PIM
09/10 .. Red Deer (WHL) .. 72 GP .. 29-52-81 .. +10 .. 32 PIM
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Season: Coetzee earned a contract after training camp, some thought because he was a linemate and friend of Landon Ferraro. That wasn't the case, though, quickly proving he earned a contract on his own merit with 81 points in 72 games. He started the season on a torrid pace, staying in the top five WHL scorers for a time. He slipped down to a three-way tie for 16th by the end of the season, but still remained the top scoring player on the mediocre Red Deer Rebels. Coetzee is known for his great release, but still has strides to go for his defensive game.
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Future: Although last year was his first year eligible for the NHL draft, his 1990 birth year makes him eligible to play in the AHL. It sounds as though he will get a long look at Grand Rapids, but given his somewhat late development, it would not be surprising if Detroit determines that top minutes in the WHL are more worthwhile than bottom six minutes in the AHL. However, if he's returned to the Rebels, he will likely be without Ferraro who seems to be on the outs. Instead, he'd probably frequently be paired with potential 2011 top ten pick Ryan Nugent-Hopkins.
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17. Max Nicastro, D (-4) [+0]
3rd round, 91st overall, 2008
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Stats
08/09 .. Chicago (USHL) .. 57 GP .. 9-22-31 .. 84 PIM
09/10 .. Boston U. (HE) .. 37 GP .. 3-12-15 .. 26 PIM
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Season: Nicastro's fall isn't as representative of his struggles but rather the group ahead of him just having very impressive seasons, opposed to Nicastro's average one. He was a freshman at Boston University this season, a perennial contender in the NCAA and the defending champions from the year before. They lost some talent on their blueline, but still boasted an impressive group that didn't make Nicastro finding early ice time a guarantee. He did anyway, playing in all but one game, playing regularly at even strength and even given the chance to quarterback the second powerplay unit. Nicastro was also the final cut on what eventually became the gold medal winning United States squad. That must have been disappointing, but if he made it, it likely would have been Brian Lashoff left off. Nicastro did advance further in the process than some though, even edging out his former defensive partner with the USHL's Chicago Steel in John Moore, a first round draft pick of Columbus.
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Future: Everything is on track here -- it would have been downright freakish for a two-way defenseman like Nicastro to put up any higher numbers than he managed this season on a blueline that deep. Fortunately for him, due to the graduation of Erik Gryba (PIT), and NHL contracts signed by Kevin Shattenkirk and Colby Cohen (both COL), leaving Nicastro and the very offensive-minded David Warsofsky (STL) as the elder statesmen on the Terrier blueline heading into next season -- more ice time than most sophomores get on such recognized programs. Additionally, three of the team's top four scoring forwards have moved on (due to NHL contracts, graduation, and team dismissal), so BU may be in for a rare down season. Development-wise, this leaves an excellent opportunity for Nicastro to seize both a larger role and a leadership role, something that could accelerate him back closer to the top ten.
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18. Dick Axelsson, LW (-7) [-12]
2nd round, 62nd overall, 2006
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Stats
08/09 .. Sweden (INT) .. 3 GP .. 0-1-1 .. 2 PIM
08/09 .. Djurgardens IF (SEL) .. 18 GP .. 5-7-12 .. -1 .. 10 PIM
08/09 .. Farjestads BK (SEL) .. 21 GP .. 6-12-18 .. +4 .. 32 PIM
09/10 .. Grand Rapids (AHL) .. 17 GP .. 2-3-5 .. +1 .. 6 PIM
09/10 .. Farjestads BK (SEL) .. 15 GP .. 6-4-10 .. +2 .. 24 PIM
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Season: Sigh, where do we begin? After burning the first year of his entry-level contract by staying in Sweden, Axelsson finally headed to the farm to begin this season. Since I've hashed out the details on this so many times before, the short version of what happened is this: like most of the Griffins, and especially Griffins prospects, Axelsson struggled to find the net early in the season. While trying to find line combinations, sticking with his philosophy of leaning on veteran players instead of rookies, Axelsson found himself on a line with Kris Newbury and Jamie Tardif, not exactly the two most gifted offensive players. After a few benchings, Axelsson got sick of the low ice time, scarce AHL crowds, and likely poor salary and picked up and left for Sweden in a move that upset Detroit fans much worse than it upset Detroit management. He returned to Farjestads BK, where he racked up 10 points in 15 games -- still very solid numbers for a young prospect in Sweden.
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Future: What doesn't back up my theory that Axelsson would still want to play for Detroit some day is the fact that he's now decided to stay in Sweden for one more season. It's uncertain as to whether or not Detroit will even bring him to camp now, given that he's gone from "I'll think about reporting to the AHL" to "I've signed a two year deal in Sweden." Taking into account this is his last season on the aforementioned AHL contract, and it's likely he's done as a Detroit prospect. Still, he's at 18 because of talent alone -- Axelsson is one of just a small handful of prospects (possibly up with only Jan Mursak and Tomas Tatar) as players who scream "top six forward" (there's a few more who have that ability, but could also develop into checkers). Detroit is really going to have to be happy with his upcoming season to even consider keeping him in the system, as likely the one way they can get him over is to lure him with the chance to be an NHLer or, at least, an early call-up. While it's likely that won't happen given Axelsson's history of having one thing go terribly wrong every season, I don't support the sentiment of "good riddance" to him. He's a talented player and it's a shame the Wings are on the brink of losing him.
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19. Nick Jensen, D (+5) [+9]
5th round, 150th overall, 2009
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Stats
08/09 .. Green Bay (USHL) .. 52 GP .. 5-17-22 .. +34 .. 27 PIM
09/10 .. Green Bay (USHL) .. 53 GP .. 6-21-27 .. +36 .. 35 PIM
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Season: The story on Jensen is that he was so sure he wasn't going to be drafted, he was driving from Texas back to Minnesota the morning of the draft and decided to just sleep through the second day of it. That is, before a phone call from Detroit woke him up. Jensen played his second season for the powerhouse Green Bay Gamblers in the USHL. Starting slowly, with just eight assists in his first 21 games. His offensive game picked up in the second half, ironically, just after the time that I was able to interview him on behalf of Winging it in Motown. He made the USHL All-Star Game despite his reputation for being more of a minute-munching defensive guy, with a hard shot and good puck-moving ability. He was among league leaders in +/- after solely leading the league last season. By the end of the season, he was regarded as one of the top defensemen in the USHL, playing upwards of 25-30 minutes a night. He helped Green Bay capture the Clark Cup as USHL champions, erasing a 2-0 deficit to win the series 3-2 over the Fargo Force.
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Future: Now a seasoned USHL veteran, it's time for Jensen to move on to a new challenge. He's known for a while that he would be playing for St. Cloud State next season, joining a program that gets stronger by the season. As far as ice time goes, he gets much of the same treatment as Max Nicastro -- I don't expect that he'll play huge minutes, but he should be able to acclimate himself as the year goes on and post decent numbers. He will be teammates with fellow Wings prospect Nick Oslund, who will be a senior. The Huskies are graduating two defensemen this year, including two of the only three to score a powerplay goal all season, so Jensen will have the potential to log minutes in all kinds of situations from the get go.
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20. Brent Raedeke, C (-1) [+6]
Signed as a free agent, September 2008
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Stats
08/09 .. Edmonton (WHL) .. 71 GP .. 20-36-56 .. -13 .. 80 PIM
08/09 .. Grand Rapids (AHL) .. 2 GP .. 0-0-0 .. -1 .. 0 PIM
09/10 .. Edmonton (WHL) .. 39 GP .. 17-14-31 .. +4 .. 60 PIM
09/10 .. Brandon (WHL) .. 33 GP .. 7-18-25 .. +12 .. 35 PIM
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Season: One of three Detroit free agent finds in the top 20, Raedeke emerged as one of the top two-way centers in the WHL. He started the season on one of the lowliest teams in the league, the Edmonton Oil Kings, and was on pace to beat his offensive highs from the previous season as Edmonton hovered around the lowest scoring teams in the league (they finished last). He got good news in the middle of the season, that he would be traded to the Brandon Wheat Kings, a contending team that was hosting the Memorial Cup, therefore guaranteed a bid to it and had been building their team accordingly to try to win on home ice. They were bounced in the playoffs by the Calgary Hitmen, but got their revenge, beating them in the Memorial Cup to advance to the final, where they were promptly got destroyed by Windsor Spitfires 9-1.
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Future: Raedeke was signed at the same time Brian Lashoff was, and is a 1990-born player. This means he can play in Grand Rapids next season, something that will likely happen given his strong two-way play and big league speed. However, it will likely be a bit of an adjustment period as he battles alongside the other potential rookie Griffins -- Joakim Andersson and Willie Coetzee
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